Compared to the memory price is not worrying, now the SSD price can be said to be quite good. To know that 3 years ago, a 256G TLC SSD price will be about 450 yuan, not to mention the same capacity SSD in 2017 up to 700 yuan.
Now, at present, many 480~500GB SSD electricity prices are less than 400 yuan, and the GB capacity is less than 8 cents. It can be said that It’s really “cabbage price”, and it gives more people the opportunity to experience the thrill of SSD.
The latest SSD market screenshots are as follows -
You can see that many brands of 480~512GB SSD prices are really very The incense, the lowest has even reached 349 yuan, the e-commerce of other channels may even be lower.
The reason for the decline in SSD price
Whether it is the wave of SSD price increases opened in the second half of 2016, or the price of SSD continues today The decline is inseparable from the innovation of flash memory technology.
The development of 3D NAND technology makes flash memory density higher, lowering the cost of flash memory and improving the efficiency of flash memory production. ,It also makes chip makers' enthusiasm for 3D NAND production to rise.
But the process from 2D NAND process to 3D NAND process is very cumbersome, and the release of capacity requires a process, which makes the flash output insufficient, and the flash memory is in short supply, so The cost of the final rise two years ago is borne by consumers.
With the expansion of 3D NAND production, 3D NAND capacity has increased and the fourth-generation 64-layer and fifth-generation 72-layer 3D NAND technology has been improved. As the demand for NAND Flash exceeds demand, the inventory of manufacturers needs to be digested, and brand manufacturers are also vying for market share to keep price, so that the price of the entire SSD market will continue to fall.
Other market demand is sluggish
On the other hand, it is driven by smart phones, tablets, servers, etc. We all know that the flash memory chips used in the ROM in the mobile phone are the same as the flash chip production sources in the SSD.
However, according to statistics, China's smartphone shipments in 2018 are less than the same period in 2017 in 2018. In 2017, the total shipments of mobile phones were 459 million units, compared with 408 million units in 2018. In addition to other markets. The impact of the NAND Flash market from oversupply to oversupply.
HDD vendors are not doing well
As early as the SSD just appeared in the market, some people said the future SSD will replace HDD as a mainstream storage device, but due to capacity and price issues, SSD has been a plaything for DIY players for a long time.
But Nowadays, with the continuous decline of the price of large-capacity SSDs, the penetration rate of SSD in the notebook computer market has also increased steadily. Last year, the loading rate of SSD in the notebook market exceeded 50%, and it is expected to reach 60~65% at the end of this year, while the demand for HDD This is reduced.
But on the current trend, the downward trend of small-capacity TLC SSD has slowed down, and the downside is limited, but the large-capacity TLC SSD still has a certain Space (with the release of 96-layer 3D NAND capacity).
But with the arrival of the traditional sales season (third quarter), Apple's new machine stocking demand is under As well as most NAND Flash OEMs slow down their expansion plans and announce production cuts, the decline will converge.
The future wants to fall further only The mass production of 128-layer TLC chips is used to squeeze the price of large-capacity SSDs.
As for QLC SSD and MLC SSD, I believe the old drivers understand that the former price The advantage is general, just look at it for a while; the latter price reduction should not be counted, it is not bad to increase the price.
Purchase recommendation at this stage:
In general, the current TLC SSD price is already very high Good, you can buy it with confidence and buy it early.
If users who have recently installed capacity can choose SSDs with 480G/500G/ 512G, the SSD price of this capacity is currently the most cost-effective and sufficient The player puts the game and the software is used.
If you are concerned about SSD security issues, you are equipped with an HDD to put data, but the good habit of developing a backup is the best way.
Take the example of the British Core BX500, the 480GB version has dropped to a very affordable range, and the average is only 0.8 per GB. Around the Yuan, and the original brand of Micron, the quality and reliability of the particles do not need to worry.
But if it is not particularly urgent recently, you can wait until 618 Buy it before and after, I believe that when Jingdong, Taobao, Tmall, Suning and other large-scale e-commerce activities are waiting for you, it will be cheaper to think about it, but the expectation is not too high, but the price of large-capacity SSDs above 1TB may be large. Some.